Word, Florence. Same here in Columbia. I went home last night and asked the fam how they liked living in Seattle.
There is good news from the NWS in Nashville in this afternoon's forecast discussion, to wit:
AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE IS A MESSY ONE, WITH ISOLATED-TO-SCATTERED POP'S THROUGH THE 7-DAY PERIOD. ONCE THE LOW CENTER PASSES OUT OF THE REGION TOMORROW, THERE IS NO DEFINITIVE (I.E., LARGE-SCALE) WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT MIDDLE TENNESSEE. RATHER, VARIOUS MODELS ARE SHOWING A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES AND SURFACE TROUGHS THAT WILL INTERACT WITH AN ALREADY HUMID ENVIRONMENT DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
IN THE INTERIM, CHANCES OF RAIN TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WILL TAPER OFF ONCE DRIER AIR ADVECTS INTO THE MID STATE. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL GET BACK INTO THE MID 80S BY SATURDAY, WITH DEWPOINTS MODERATING IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S THROUGH THE PERIOD, MEANING THAT WE ARE GETTING INTO THE SEASON WHERE AFTERNOON, HEAT-DRIVEN CONVECTION BECOMES MORE PREVALENT. &&
So like most folks have been saying, we will likely see a more-typical southern summer weather pattern. Rather than the cool temps (70s) of the past few days in the south, we'll work our way back into the mid-80s and the humidity will be killer. If you don't think 85 can be hot as hell, you haven't enjoyed it with 100% relative humidity on top...yum!
Still, all the wet of late will help to fuel the afternoon thunderstorms, and we very well could see either a repeat of 'roo two (very little rain, pleasant temps, cloudy) OR 'roo three (anywhere from a few to a great many drenching storms).
.LONG TERM... 03/00Z EXTENDED MODELS CONTINUE WITH UPPER RIDGE EAST THAT WEAKENS EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT MAY MOVE DOWN FROM THE OHIO VLY INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE BY MID WEEK. IF LATER MODELS CONTINUE WITH THIS IDEA MAY NEED TO INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FAR EXTENDED.
MODELS BRING COLD FRONT TOWARD MIDDLE TN SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY. GFS HAS IT STALL TO OUR NORTHWEST...THEN FINALLY MOVE THRU EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. INTERESTING TO SEE HOW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY SOUTH OF CUBA PLAYS OUT. 12Z GFS BRINGS IT INTO GULF...WITH WIND CIRCULATION ALMOST TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTH...THEN INTO FL PANHANDLE...WITH MOISTURE SPREADING THROUGH AL AND GA INTO SOUTHEASTERN MIDDLE TN BY 00Z MON...CAUSING FRONT TO STALL. 12Z ETA KEEPS MOIST AIR AND PRECIP FROM THE SYSTEM IN FL AND INTO THE ATLANTIC. IF ETA IS CORRECT...MAY SEE FRONT MOVE THRU THE CWA EARLIER THAN GFS FORECAST.
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN UNDER-FORECASTING TEMPS...ESPECIALLY MINS...FOR SEVERAL DAYS NOW. HAVE FORECAST TEMPS A BIT WARMER THAN GUIDANCE FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.