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Can anyone give me some inside knowledge on realclearpolitics.com? I check it once a day to watch the polling averages and changes. I hardly ever read any of the articles because they tend to be too skewed one way or the other, but I feel like it's difficult to fudge around on polling data. Basically I would love someone to make me feel justified in trusting that site, or burst my bubble so I can stop going to it.
Over the last few weeks, polls have stayed steady and even increased for Obama in the electoral college realm. He is gaining ground in some of the toss up states that he already was leading in, past the point of the margin of error for the polls. He is slowly gaining ground in Florida, but looks to still be on path to losing Florida. He has slightly gained ground on Ohio, which is indeed the state that will inevitably decide it all as of now. And most importantly, today he overtook Romney in the composite average popular vote.
We may (I said may, dammit) see the President win electoral AND popular vote. Only four more days.
Oh, and btw: All things staying the same, Obama currently would still win the election if he lost Ohio. Based strictly off of polling that does have margins of error and may be skewed, I know this is not fact. But, if you give the win to the candidate who is currently leading the polls, and swap Ohio to Romney, Obama still has 272 electoral votes, and he only needs 270.
Post by itrainmonkeys on Nov 2, 2012 13:33:36 GMT -5
I'm not worried about swing states. I'm worried about voter machine fraud and people stealing the election. Too many reports I've read about how a lot of machines are linked to certain people.
That is true. There are a lot of people with a lot of money investing in ways to possibly rig the election. The voter machines should not to available for purchase to begin with.
I'm not worried about swing states. I'm worried about voter machine fraud and people stealing the election. Too many reports I've read about how a lot of machines are linked to certain people.
I will admit that Romney's son buying up a bunch of machines in swing states is beyond sketchy, but I doubt it'd be enough to influence an election.
Post by itrainmonkeys on Nov 2, 2012 13:54:44 GMT -5
Yea, I haven't read everything about all the cases but I keep finding articles about different states and the shady connections to the voting machines.
Post by Dave Maynar on Nov 2, 2012 17:32:58 GMT -5
I wonder if Romney ever wakes up and thinks to himself that he hopes he loses. He's 64. He's got grand kids and enough money to where he never needs to work again. You have to think that he'd rather just skip all the stress of being President and go live on a private island.
I just got into a Twitter fight with my high school boyfriend over Elizabeth Warren. I don't know whether to laugh or cry. Not because I give a rat's ass about him, just that he's the norm around here. Living in the South, particularly SC, makes me want to pull my hair out sometimes.
Cast my early vote today, particularly since I'm volunteering all day Tuesday, and glad to have that out of the way. Looking forward to the whole thing being over. I'm also looking forward to having paychecks for me again. I blew mine this week donating to Obama, our Senate candidate Tammy Baldwin and State Senator Jess King who we put into office in last summer's recall elections. I imagine most of you don't have to put up with the status of being a battleground state.
In Wisconsin, we've had Obama, Romney, Biden, Ryan and Bill Clinton campaign here - just in the past week. Obama's visiting Milwaukee (with Katy Perry) tomorrow and Madison (with Bruce!) on Monday. I am possibly attending the Boss/Obama rally on Monday - it's basically in the shadow of the state capitol, where he basically ignored us the last year and a half, and it might be a bit touchy there. And, of course, the obligatory supermajority of any given commercial break consisting of political advertisements. Especially crappy for me is that Paul Ryan's Congressional district begins south of my county line, so I'm in his media market and putting up with them all (and trust me, they're awful) without being part of that electorate.
I just got into a Twitter fight with my high school boyfriend over Elizabeth Warren. I don't know whether to laugh or cry. Not because I give a rat's ass about him, just that he's the norm around here. Living in the South, particularly SC, makes me want to pull my hair out sometimes.
I'm betting I know more about SC politics than he does, and I'm in MA. (Or well, a good amount of time. Boston right now.)
I know the Salt Lake Tribune endorsed Obama, and I presume at least the Detroit Free Press did as well.
I've been sitting at my computer trying to come up with some sort of Cranbrook/Bloomfield Hills local paper joke, but am just too hungover to connect any sort of dots here.
Using the extra hour for a power hour seemed like such a good idea too...
Custeph - I try not to talk about politics with most of the people here in NC unless I know where they stand. The arguments are awful and usually stupid, based in fear and misinformation rather than facts.
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Two things for the day: 1. Thank you for being alive, Katy Perry. You lighten up my day. 2. Do any of you believe the reports of Romney paying zero taxes for many years or do you think it's too speculative?
Post by wannaberoo'ing on Nov 4, 2012 19:49:09 GMT -5
I was gonna skip this election and not vote (haven't missed voting since I legally could).
But every time some right-wing nut-job opens up his mouth, my anger bubbles back up. The ever growing roster of Republican men who want to overturn Roe v. Wade, take away women's rights to reproductive health and their right to choose their future, has just helped this voter to dig out her voter card and head to the polls come Tuesday. What is this? The 1950's? This friggin' country, I swear. I will do my gotdamn civic duty, begrudgingly.
Romney just used my favorite Explosions in the Sky song awww helll nah!!!
malarky. Which song?
Even worse it's the one song that always makes me smile and think of being on the farm because of this video. I was sitting under the big tree probably 20 feet from her and missed this, but it was a joy to find this video not long after:
According to Breitbart.com and its commetariat, Obama (OBOZO LOL) is going to lose because Bruce Springsteen played to only 18K at a rally in Madison today, whereas when he played Madison right before the Kerry/Bush election, there were 75K there. Obviously.
I mean that, coupled with the Skins losing at home yesterday (INCUMBENT ALWAYS LUZEZ WHEN SKINS LOSE FINAL HOME GAME BEFORE AN ELECTION LOLZ!), Obama supporters are f*cked.